Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.041180 0.048134 0.055789 0.064827 0.075188 0.086678 0.100369
2025-04-27 0.032149 0.041568 0.052900 0.067471 0.085639 0.107465 0.135585
2025-05-04 0.024317 0.034431 0.047602 0.065862 0.090345 0.121838 0.165180
2025-05-11 0.019224 0.029538 0.043956 0.065315 0.095823 0.137442 0.198027
2025-05-18 0.015151 0.025115 0.039980 0.063370 0.098737 0.149575 0.227331
2025-05-25 0.012253 0.021788 0.036889 0.061991 0.101942 0.162106 0.258241
2025-06-01 0.010368 0.019659 0.035195 0.062328 0.107529 0.178464 0.296245
2025-06-08 0.008548 0.017257 0.032606 0.060715 0.109625 0.189429 0.326796
2025-06-15 0.007779 0.016583 0.032822 0.063795 0.119720 0.214018 0.381321
2025-06-22 0.006725 0.015154 0.031432 0.063772 0.124357 0.229895 0.422800
2025-06-29 0.005661 0.013486 0.029308 0.062043 0.125636 0.239999 0.455184
2025-07-06 0.004854 0.012196 0.027705 0.061042 0.128048 0.252180 0.492115
2025-07-13 0.004512 0.011895 0.028113 0.064181 0.138891 0.280958 0.562106
2025-07-20 0.004137 0.011443 0.028134 0.066525 0.148447 0.308274 0.631929
2025-07-27 0.003518 0.010267 0.026366 0.064800 0.149518 0.319474 0.672329
2025-08-03 0.003064 0.009413 0.025190 0.064192 0.152816 0.335277 0.722939
2025-08-10 0.002603 0.008431 0.023538 0.062244 0.152954 0.344675 0.761601
2025-08-17 0.002241 0.007640 0.022217 0.060871 0.154164 0.356316 0.805692
2025-08-24 0.002005 0.007167 0.021631 0.061193 0.159245 0.376502 0.869026
2025-08-31 0.001724 0.006484 0.020363 0.059603 0.159635 0.386565 0.911759
2025-09-07 0.001646 0.006437 0.020845 0.062629 0.171459 0.422811 1.013702
2025-09-14 0.001471 0.006027 0.020219 0.062605 0.175760 0.442512 1.080902
2025-09-21 0.001269 0.005465 0.019047 0.060905 0.175630 0.452036 1.126146